Super Bowl 2024 prediction: Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs oust 49ers in Las Vegas, repeat as NFL champions (2024)

It's officially 'go' time! After a long NFL season that included 21 weeks of regular-season and postseason play, the 2023 campaign is set to conclude with Super Bowl LVIII, which kicks off injust a few hours from Las Vegas. It'll be the defending-championKansas City Chiefstaking on the star-studdedSan Francisco 49ersin a battle for this year's ultimate prize.

This matchup is exactly what many could have forecast in Week 1. The Niners came within one win of playing the Chiefs in last year's Super Bowl. K.C. is the reigning champs. And yet their respective journeys have infused the upcoming heavyweight brawl with added drama: Patrick Mahomes and Co. were curiously sluggish before rediscovering title-caliber swagger this postseason, while Brock Purdy and the 49ers found their own level of crunch-time fortitude in January.

Love them or hate them, these two teams feature some of the best talent in the NFL by a relatively wide margin, combining for 10 conference championship appearances in the last six years. In other words, their battle is must-see TV.

The 49ers are currently the oddsmakers' favorite to hoist the trophy, which on some level is quite ridiculous considering the Chiefs' undeniable track record during the Mahomes-Andy Reid era. But it speaks to the talent pool in San Francisco.

The 49ers finished 2023 with the No. 2-ranked offense -- No. 3 rushing, No. 4 passing, and No. 3 in scoring, averaging almost 29 points per game -- and they've been even better in the playoffs. Why? Because as erratic as Purdy was to start the 49ers' first postseason matchup with the Green Bay Packers, he's coming off back-to-back game-winning drives and second-half comebacks, silencing the notion he and Kyle Shanahan's offense are only built to play with a lead. Across the board, Purdy's weapons are also superior to those of the Chiefs, with Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel starring as after-contact workhorses, George Kittle remaining an over-the-middle safety valve and Brandon Aiyuk stretching the field out wide.

(Super Bowl LVIII will be broadcast on CBS and Nickelodeon and you can stream it onParamount+; here'show to watch)

They say defense wins championships, however, and while San Francisco has a reputation for fast, physical play on that side -- with Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw and ex-Chiefs starter Charvarius Ward among top playmakers -- the Chiefs actually have a clear advantage here. Steve Spagnuolo's in the midst of his best stretch as Reid's defensive coordinator, and he's got imposing difference-makers on every level -- Chris Jones and George Karlaftis up front, Nick Bolton in the middle, L'Jarius Sneed and Justin Reid on the back end. Not since 1995 have the Chiefs surrendered fewer yards per game.

Whereas the playoffs have only brought out the Chiefs' best on defense, with the Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens both thoroughly blanked against their front, the 49ers have found trouble against both the Packers and Detroit Lions, only tightening the screws after first surrendering a lead.

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And then, of course, there's the elephant and/or signal-caller of destiny in the room: Mahomes. Without the hard-nosed ground support of Isiah Pacheco, the inevitable chain-moving availability of Travis Kelce or the emergent downfield speed of Rashee Rice, the Chiefs quarterback isn't always capable of stealing the show himself. But most of the time, he is. Fourteen career playoff wins? Looking for Super Bowl ring No. 3 at age 28? The guy's legacy has already been etched and discussed ad nauseum, but it doesn't change the fact he's been there, done that, at the highest level, not so unlike Tom Brady of the peak New England Patriots years.

Purdy's a special story in San Francisco. He really is. At 24, the kid has a chance to prove once and for all that he's not just a product of the Shanahan system and supporting cast, but rather the dynamic glue that maximizes the whole endeavor. He, like Jalen Hurts with the Philadelphia Eagles a year ago, probably also has the overall talent advantage, comparing one team's lineup to the next. But that advantage didn't lift the Eagles when it mattered most, and Shanahan's actually proven less aggressive when push comes to shove. With all that said, the prediction here is another Chiefs parade, but only after a hard-fought slugfest.

Call it 27-23, Chiefs, and one heck of a Super Bowl show.

Who wins Chiefs vs. 49ers in Super Bowl 2024, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back?Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. 49ers spread hits hard, all from the expert who is an amazing 22-5 on picks involving San Francisco, and find out.

Super Bowl 2024 prediction: Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs oust 49ers in Las Vegas, repeat as NFL champions (2024)

FAQs

Super Bowl 2024 prediction: Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs oust 49ers in Las Vegas, repeat as NFL champions? ›

CBS Sports: Chiefs to beat the 49ers in a 24-23 thriller

Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl in 2024? ›

The San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the favorite to win Super Bowl LIX based on betting markets, followed by: Kansas City Chiefs (+650) Baltimore Ravens (+900) Buffalo Bills (+1200)

Who is the underdog for the Super Bowl 2024? ›

Despite their status as defending champions, the Kansas City Chiefs are slight underdogs when they face the San Francisco 49ers in the 2024 Super Bowl in Las Vegas today. The Niners first opened as 1.5-point favorites, according to most sportsbooks.

Who is MVP of Super Bowl 2024? ›

Patrick Mahomes wins 2024 Super Bowl MVP: Chiefs QB joins Tom Brady, Joe Montana as only 3-time award winners - CBSSports.com.

Who is in the lead for the Super Bowl 2024? ›

The Kansas City Chiefs are Super Bowl champions, again. Patrick Mahomes engineered a 75-yard touchdown drive to conclude overtime of Super Bowl LVIII, leading the Chiefs to their second consecutive NFL championship, this one a 25-22 victory over the San Francisco 49ers.

Are Chiefs going to Super Bowl 2024? ›

Kansas City Chiefs' tight end #87 Travis Kelce and Kansas City Chiefs' quarterback #15 Patrick Mahomes hug after winning Super Bowl LVIII against the San Francisco 49ers at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada, February 11, 2024. The Kansas City Chiefs win the 2024 Super Bowl, 25-22!

Which NFL teams need a QB in 2024? ›

Seven teams could need quarterbacks: The Bears, Broncos, Raiders, Vikings, Patriots, Giants and Commanders could all be in the market for their quarterback of the future.

What was the biggest bet on the Super Bowl 2024? ›

Biggest Super Bowl Bets 2024
BetType of BetAmount Wagered
Chiefs +104Moneyline$1,150,000
49ers -120Moneyline$1,000,000
49ers -130Moneyline$1,000,000
49ers -2 (-110)Spread$1,000,000
10 more rows

How much would I win if I bet $100 on the Chiefs? ›

Odds of -110 means you are risking $1.10 to win $1 — or $110 to win $100 and so on. So if you wager your $100 on the Chiefs' point spread, K.C. can either win the game outright — or lose by a point — for your bet to win as well.

What are the odds the Chiefs win the Super Bowl? ›

The Kansas City Chiefs' odds of winning Super Bowl LIX are +650.

How many Super Bowls has Patrick Mahomes lost? ›

Patrick Mahomes has been beaten once in Super Bowls in his career.
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What did Mahomes get for Super Bowl MVP? ›

By winning NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes has earned a $1.25M incentive. It's certainly a nice bonus to earn a few days prior to playing in the Super Bowl. He'll even have a chance to earn more contract incentives should he earn the Super Bowl LVII MVP award, which would mark his second career Super Bowl MVP win.

Who got Super Bowl 58 MVP? ›

Patrick Mahomes Wins Super Bowl 58 MVP as Chiefs Beat 49ers to Repeat as Champions.

Did Patrick Mahomes win three Super Bowls in a row? ›

Patrick Mahomes won't take consecutive Super Bowl titles for 'granted' as Kansas City Chiefs QB eyes 'legendary' three-peat. Mahomes' wife, Brittany, poses for a photo with their children, Sterling and Bronze, before the game. Fans pose for a photo before the game.

How many yards did Patrick Mahomes throw in the 2024 Super Bowl? ›

Mahomes went 3-for-3 on third-down rushes for first downs and 1-for-1 on fourth-down rushes for first downs. The quarterback with the most rushing yards in a career in Super Bowl history (172), Mahomes finished with 333 passing yards and 66 rushing yards.

How much does Patrick Mahomes make? ›

Mahomes signed a massive 10-year, $450 million extension in 2020, which pays him an easy to calculate annual average value of $45 million.

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl in 2025? ›

Immediately following Super Bowl LVIII's overtime thriller, the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs opened atop the betting board as the favorites to win it all next season.

What is the most improved NFL team in 2024? ›

NFL Free Agency 2024: Most Improved Teams Include Raiders, Bears, Falcons. Christian Wilkins, Keenan Allen and Kirk Cousins are among the best signings during this early period, and the Commanders, Titans and Steelers aren't too far behind.

What is the Super Bowl prediction for 2024 ESPN? ›

ESPN Predicts Rams as Super Bowl Contenders in 2024

Two ESPN analysts have predicted the Los Angeles Rams to come of out the NFC and reach Super Bowl LIX next season. The Kansas City Chiefs clinched the Super Bowl LVIII title last Sunday night, marking the start of the 2024 NFL offseason.

Who has more chance to win Super Bowl? ›

Super Bowl Odds FAQs

What are the current Super Bowl odds? The current Super Bowl odds have the 49ers (+550) and Chiefs (+650) as the favorites. The Super Bowl odds for the other contenders are set with the Ravens (+900), Bills (+1000), Lions (+1200) and Bengals (+1300).

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